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Biology of Reproduction

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Biology of Reproduction's content profile, based on 36 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.03% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Menstrual Cycle Changes among Reproduction-Aged Iranian Women Following COVID-19 Vaccination

Azad, A.; Darsareh, F.; Ebrahimi abshur, M.; Hajisafari, M.; Mahmoudi Essaabadi, A.

2026-07-16 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.07.07.26357499 medRxiv
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Background Menstrual cycle disturbances have been increasingly reported after COVID-19 vaccination, raising questions about their prevalence and clinical significance among women of reproductive age. Objective This study aimed to investigate the incidence and types of menstrual cycle alterations following different doses of COVID-19 vaccines among Iranian women of reproductive age. Methods A cross-sectional survey was conducted among vaccinated women who reported their menstrual cycle status before and after each vaccine dose. Data on cycle regularity, flow characteristics, and specific menstrual disorders were collected and analyzed. Results Menstrual cycle alterations were reported by 28.8%, 25.4%, 30.3%, and 68.4% of participants after the first, second, third, and fourth vaccine doses, respectively. The most common changes were oligomenorrhea after the first and second doses (8.9% and 5.6%), menorrhagia after the third dose (5.3%), and hypomenorrhea after the fourth dose (8.3%). Comparisons with international studies revealed a wide variation in prevalence (ranging from 25% to 78%), which may be explained by differences in methodology, population characteristics, vaccine types, and pre-vaccination health status. Conclusion A considerable proportion of Iranian women experienced menstrual alterations following COVID-19 vaccination, most commonly oligomenorrhea, menorrhagia, and hypomenorrhea. While generally self-limiting, these findings highlight the need to integrate menstrual health into post-vaccination monitoring and patient counseling. Future research should explore the underlying immune-endocrine mechanisms and long-term clinical implications of these changes.

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The Registry of Pregnant Women at Cruces University Hospital: an ethical framework for prospective research with preanalytical optimization of maternal plasma processing

Gonzalez-Moro, I.; Sanchez-Garcia, H.; Medina Cuesta, T.; Rodriguez Lirio, A.; Espin Lopez, M. d. P.; Esquivel Gonzalez, S.; Quintana Ochoa de Alda, E.; de la Pena-Sanz, M.; Marin Cano, L.; Sarasua-Blanco, N.; Ortiz Salinas, P.; Sanfeliu Padulles, A.; Ruiz Adrian, A.; Martinez Isidoro, A.; Aldaiturriaga Otaola, A.; Aramburu Gil, A.; Garcia Gil, A.; Saenz Saenz, A.; Heredia Campos, A.; Fernandez Salado, A.; Ramirez Jarana, A. I.; Tobar Lopez, A. I.; Casarojos Oses, A. J.; Martinez de Maranon Toral, A.; Satiago Hidalgo, A.; Silva Diaz, A.; Basterrechea Miguel, A.; Castanos Lasa, A.; Esteras Vadi

2026-07-17 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.07.17.26357942 medRxiv
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Background: Prospective pregnancy registries and biobanking infrastructures are essential for future translational studies investigating maternal, placental and offspring health. However, circulating nucleic acid analyses are highly sensitive to preanalytical variability, particularly regarding blood-collection tube type and sample processing conditions. We established a prospective pregnancy registry and biobanking workflow at Cruces University Hospital and evaluated the impact of preanalytical variables on circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) and cell-free RNA (cfRNA) preservation in maternal plasma collected at delivery. Methods: The Registry of Pregnant Women at Cruces University Hospital was designed as a prospective infrastructure integrating placental sampling, maternal blood collection and ethically controlled future access to maternal and offspring clinical data. Within this framework, peripheral blood samples from 50 women at delivery were simultaneously collected into EDTA, Norgen and Roche tubes. Plasma samples processed within or after 24 hours following collection underwent cfDNA/cfRNA extraction, electrophoretic profiling, fluorometric quantification and RT-qPCR analyses targeting different stress-related genes. Results: By the end of June 2026, 1,127 women had been prospectively recruited into the registry, with 661 plasma samples, 637 serum samples and 858 sets of four placental biopsies collected, processed and stored in the Basque Biobank. In the preanalytical substudy, EDTA tubes yielded higher cfDNA concentrations, likely reflecting reduced cellular preservation and genomic DNA contamination. In contrast, Roche tubes showed superior cfRNA preservation, with higher cfRNA concentrations and more consistent detection of the characteristic 5S rRNA peak compared with EDTA and Norgen tubes. Processing delays beyond 24 hours reduced cfRNA concentration, while associations between circulating transcripts and gestational age were more consistently detectable in preservative-containing tubes. Conclusions: Prospective infrastructures like ours offer strong foundation for large scale, long-term studies in the framework of the Developmental Origins of Health and Disease hypothesis. Technically, Roche tubes provided superior cfRNA preservation and enhanced sensitivity for detecting subtle biological associations, supporting the importance of standardized preanalytical workflows within prospective pregnancy biobanking resource.

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Cognition in younger women with premature ovarian insufficiency

Naysmith, L.; Rida, L.; Hampshire, A.

2026-07-16 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.07.14.26358044 medRxiv
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Premature ovarian insufficiency (POI) significantly impacts quality of life, yet the immediate cognitive landscape and lived experience of younger women remain under-researched. In 125 young women (aged 19-48; 66 with idiopathic POI, 59 age-matched controls), we examined self-reported cognitive distress and symptom burden within the POI cohort and compared objective global and domain-specific cognitive performance between groups. Objective accuracy scores were derived from six online tasks (Cognitron) and combined into a robust global measure. Within the POI cohort, there were significant differences in symptom burden domains ({chi}(3) = 61.90, p<0.001), with psychological and sexual symptoms reported at a significantly higher intensity than physical and vasomotor symptoms (all p<0.001). Furthermore, the standardised magnitude of perceived cognitive distress (56.20%) was significantly greater than that of overall symptom burden (42.00%, p<0.001). Case-control comparisons revealed no significant differences in global cognitive performance (p=0.615), yet the POI cohort performed significantly less accurate than controls in verbal analogical reasoning (-0.86 SD, 95% CI: -1.52, -0.20, p = 0.011). The findings highlight an urgent need for comprehensive emotional and psychosexual support in POI care. Additionally, the presence of high cognitive distress alongside localised objective deficits demonstrates that cognitive health monitoring must be proactive in early adulthood, especially given their established long-term risks for later-life cognitive decline and dementia.

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Number of previous caesarean deliveries, history of vaginal birth and uterine rupture during a trial of labour : Protocol for a retrospective population-based cohort study

Thompson, R.; De Vries, B.; Adily, P.; Narayan, R.; Mackie, A.; Phipps, H.; Berghella, V.; Lauer, M.

2026-07-21 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.07.19.26358407 medRxiv
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There remains considerable uncertainty around the safety of a trial of labour after more than one caesarean delivery. This large retrospective cohort study will investigate the safety of a trial of labour using a large United States dataset of all registered births from 2011 to the most recent year with available data. A multivariable fitted model will be used to predict the probability of uterine rupture in women with two or more previous caesarean deliveries, with a minimum 21-month interpregnancy interval. This will provide important information to clinicians in counselling women wanting to attempt a vaginal birth after more than one caesarean delivery.

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A study of PROGRESS: the Therapeutic Potential of 17 OHPC on the Pathophysiology of Severe Preeclampsia

Brewerton, C. H.; Chambers, C. L.; Belk, S.; Wallace, K.; Roseburg, M.; Campbell, N.; Neeley, Y.; Dodd, C.; Morris, r.; Novotny, S.; Tucker, J. M.; LaMarca, B. B.; Amaral, L. M.

2026-07-17 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358196 medRxiv
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Preeclampsia (PE), new onset hypertension after 20 weeks of gestation, affects 10% of all pregnancies in the U.S. and it is associated with progesterone deficiency, chronic inflammation, elevated angiotensin II type 1 receptor agonistic autoantibody (AT1-AA) and endothelial dysfunction. Progesterone, through its receptors, stimulates an anti- inflammatory protein called Progesterone Induced Blocking Factor (PIBF) which decreases during various pregnancy disorders. Therefore, this study was designed to test the hypothesis that a progestogen, in the form of 17-hydroxyprogesterone caproate, stimulates PIBF, lowers vasoactive mechanisms which reduces maternal blood pressure in women with early-onset preeclampsia (EOPE). PE women received 17-OHPC (250 mg, I.M.) and blood draws were collected before and after 17-OHPC supplementation. Placentas were collected at the delivery. 17-OHPC prolonged time of delivery beyond 72h on average and maternal blood pressure was significantly decreased in PE+17- OHPC. Progesterone and PIBF levels were reduced in PE group vs. NP group. Importantly, 17-OHPC increased PIBF and decreased vasoactive mechanisms and markers of inflammation. In conclusion, 17-OHPC or progesterone supplementation improves maternal outcomes in response to EOPE without causing further harm to the fetus.

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From Menarche to Menopause: Hormonal Influences on Functional Neurological Disorder

Palmer, D. D. G.; Warren, N.; Morton, A.; Lehn, A.

2026-07-18 neurology 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358260 medRxiv
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Background Functional neurological disorder (FND), one of the most common neurological conditions, affects women almost twice as frequently as men. The reasons for this are unknown, and there has been minimal research into how physiological and pathological features of women's health interact with symptoms of FND. Methods We conducted an online survey assessing the effect of several aspects of women's health with the severity of symptoms of FND. Results 484 people completed the survey. Among the 223 who had regular or fairly regular menstrual cycles, a strong difference across the menstrual cycle was seen, with symptoms at their best in the follicular phase, worsening in the luteal phase, and worst in the pre-menstrual period and the menses. This effect was not moderated by a proxy measure of pre-menstrual dysphoric disorder (PMDD). Participants who were taking the combined oral contraceptive (COC, n=43) and progesterone-based contraception (n=80) were more likely to report symptom improvement from starting the medication than worsening. When compared to menstruating participants who were not taking the COC, participants taking the COC reported less worsening in their symptoms of FND in the luteal, pre-menstrual, and menstrual phases. Of the 99 women who had passed menopause since developing FND, 76% reported worsening of their FND symptoms after menopause. Discussion This study demonstrates interactions between several aspects of women's health and symptoms of FND. The observed pattern of symptom fluctuation across hormonal states suggests a potential modulatory role of oestrogen, warranting further targeted investigation.

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Comparing measured and calculated blood loss after a caesarean birth

Mansukhani, R.; Arribas, M.; Bello, N.; Chaudhri, R.; Geer, A.; Ker, K.; Muganyizi, P.; Prowse, D.; Roberts, I.

2026-07-18 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358295 medRxiv
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Introduction Accurate measurement of blood loss after caesarean birth is important for early identification of postpartum haemorrhage. Commonly used visual estimation underestimates blood loss. We compared two methods for objectively assessing blood loss. Methods Measured blood loss was obtained by weighing swabs and pads combined with blood from suction and drapes. Calculated blood loss was derived from maternal weight and peripartum haemoglobin change. Data were from the I'M WOMAN trial investigating tranexamic acid for postpartum haemorrhage prevention. This was a secondary analysis of prospectively collected trial data. We reported median (IQR) blood loss, assessed agreement using Bland-Altman analysis and compared the percentages of women exceeding 500 ml, 1000 ml and 1500 ml. We graphed proportional haemoglobin drop by categories of measured blood loss, stratified by anaemia status. We compared AUCs for measured and calculated blood loss predicting haemodynamic compromise (shock index above 1.0) and death or near-miss. Results A total of 10,393 women were included in this study. Median measured and calculated blood loss were 545 ml (IQR 430-700) and 505 ml (IQR 180-908) respectively, with weak correlation (Spearmans rho=0.28). The IQR was wider for calculated blood loss than for measured blood loss, indicating greater variability. Bland-Altman analysis showed a small mean bias of -39 ml but wide limits of agreement (lower -1196 ml, upper 1118 ml). Measured versus calculated blood loss exceeded 500 ml in 60% versus 51% of women, 1000 ml in 7% versus 21%, and 1500 ml in 2% versus 8%. Women without anaemia had a greater proportional haemoglobin drop than women with anaemia for blood losses below 1000 ml. Measured blood loss had better predictive ability for death or near-miss (AUC 0.87 vs 0.76, p<0.001) and haemodynamic compromise (AUC 0.66 vs 0.62, p=0.001). Conclusion While median measured and calculated blood losses were similar, they were only weakly correlated. Calculated blood loss classified more women as having blood loss above higher thresholds. Women without anaemia had a greater proportional haemoglobin drop than women with anaemia for blood loss below 1000 ml. Measured blood loss had a modest advantage in predicting death or near-miss and haemodynamic compromise, but calculated blood loss remains an objective measure suitable as a trial outcome when direct measurement is not feasible.

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Analytical perturbation reveals hidden instability of biological phenotypes

Piorkowska, N. J.; Ostromecki, A.; Franik, G.; Bizon, A.

2026-07-16 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.07.13.26357916 medRxiv
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Background Unsupervised machine learning has become a cornerstone of computational phenotyping across clinical medicine, genomics, imaging, and multi-omics research. However, phenotype discovery relies on a sequence of analytical decisions - including missing-data handling, preprocessing, dimensionality reduction, clustering methodology, and stochastic initialization - that are rarely evaluated collectively. Although clustering stability has been extensively investigated, the robustness of complete analytical workflows remains largely unexplored. Results We developed an Analytical Perturbation Framework that systematically quantifies the robustness of phenotype discovery by perturbing complete unsupervised learning workflows rather than individual clustering algorithms. Using a real-world cohort of 1,286 women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS), we generated 116 valid analytical pipelines comprising alternative preprocessing strategies, missing-data handling methods, dimensionality reduction approaches, clustering algorithms, and random initializations. Agreement between independently generated phenotype solutions was consistently low (median Adjusted Rand Index = 0.079), indicating substantial sensitivity of phenotype discovery to routine analytical decisions. Variance decomposition identified preprocessing as the largest contributor to phenotype instability (22.8%), followed by clustering methodology (14.6%), whereas stochastic initialization explained only 3.1% of the observed variability. At the patient level, most individuals exhibited reproducible phenotype assignments (median Patient Robustness Score = 0.719), although a substantial subgroup showed markedly lower assignment stability. Feature perturbation analyses identified follicle-stimulating hormone, anti-thyroglobulin antibodies, anti-thyroid peroxidase antibodies, total testosterone, luteinizing hormone, and androstenedione as the strongest contributors to computational robustness, rather than biological importance. Finally, phenotype solutions demonstrating greater computational robustness also exhibited greater biological coherence during independent validation.

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Development and external validation of deep learning models for spontaneous preterm birth prediction from mid-trimester cervical ultrasound

Chanian, R.; Mishra, D.; Jain, R.; Sharma, N.; Khurana, A.; Tripathi, R.; Tripathi, A.; group, G.-I. s.; Wadhwa, N.; Noble, J. A.; Thiruvengadam, R.; Desiraju, B. K.; Bhatnagar, S.

2026-07-19 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.07.17.26358221 medRxiv
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Preterm birth is the leading cause of neonatal death. Despite sustained efforts to identify high-risk women in the mid-trimester, accurate prediction remains difficult. Quantitative cervical ultrasound texture has been proposed as a predictor of spontaneous preterm birth. However, earlier models were developed in small single-centre samples and were not externally validated. We developed image-texture (Local Binary Patterns with a Random Forest), deep-learning (Vision Transformer), clinical-variable, and multimodal models to predict spontaneous preterm birth on the prospective GARBH-Ini cohort. We then externally validated our best models on an independent cohort scanned on a different ultrasound machine. Our best overall model reached an internal-test area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve of 0.71 (95% CI 0.60, 0.82), but performed modestly at 0.52 (95% CI 0.38, 0.64) externally. The deep-learning and multimodal models did not perform better. Discrimination appeared higher in a clinically high-risk subgroup at the 34-week threshold. These estimates were imprecise because of few cases and need to be confirmed in future studies. Among the several likely reasons for the modest external performance is the heterogeneity of preterm birth. Predicting distinct preterm-birth subtypes separately, and integrating additional biomarkers and data domains, might improve model performance. Keywords: preterm birth; cervical ultrasound; prediction model; external validation; deep learning

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Ceasing oxytocin in the active phase of the first stage of induced labours: A prospective audit at a tertiary hospital.

O'Dea, S.; De Vries, B.; Balendran, J.; Davis, G.; Phipps, H.; O'Brien, K.

2026-07-20 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.07.17.26358359 medRxiv
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Introduction: Oxytocin is commonly used in the process of induction of labour and is associated with uterine hyperstimulation and abnormal fetal heart rate patterns that can increase the risk of adverse perinatal outcomes. Cessation of oxytocin in the active phase of induced labour has been shown in randomised trials to reduce uterine tachysystole and abnormal fetal heart rate traces, and may reduce caesarean section. We introduced a policy recommending cessation of oxytocin infusion in the active phase of the first stage of induced labour at a tertiary hospital in Sydney, Australia, and collated both clinical outcomes and maternal satisfaction following implementation. Methods: This was a prospective audit of a policy change at Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, comparing 600 women induced with oxytocin in the 6 months before the policy (November 2019 to May 2020) with 556 women induced in the 6 months after implementation (June to December 2020). Eligible women had a cervix [&ge;] 5cm, an oxytocin infusion, and regular uterine contractions. The primary clinical outcome was caesarean delivery. The primary patient-centred outcome, maternal satisfaction, measured using the Six Simple Questions questionnaire, was collected in a subset of participants. Secondary outcomes included mode of birth, length of labour, uterine hyperstimulation, and perinatal outcomes. Results: Caesarean delivery occurred in 29% of women before and 28% after policy implementation (p=0.77). Instrumental birth increased from 25% to 27%; and instrumental birth for maternal indications increased from 6.8% to 13% (p=0.0005). Median length of labour increased by one hour (5.4 vs 6.4 hours, p=0.006). Oxytocin was ceased for at least two hours or until birth in 13% of women before the policy versus 35% after. Maternal satisfaction scores were modestly lower after implementation (median 41 vs 38, p=0.03). Perinatal outcomes, including abnormal cord gases, Apgar scores, and NICU admission, were similar between groups. Conclusions: Implementing a policy of recommending cessation of oxytocin in the active phase of induced labour did not reduce caesarean delivery rates in a real-world tertiary hospital setting, despite trial-level evidence supporting the intervention. Poor uptake, negative staff perceptions, and a modest reduction in maternal satisfaction highlight barriers to translating trial efficacy into routine clinical practice. Adequately powered trials are needed to clarify optimal protocols for oxytocin cessation and its effects on maternal and perinatal outcomes.

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EASing Oxytocin in Early Labour - OUTcomes for Mothers and Babies (EASE-OUT): a feasibility randomised controlled trial

Krisanaleela, A.; Bruce, B. R.; Phipps, H.; Morton, R.; Hyett, J. A.; Tarnow-Mordi, W.; Gordon, A.; Pakzadian, S.; Lawrence, K.; Wang, M.; de Vries, B. S.

2026-07-21 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.07.18.26358404 medRxiv
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Objective: To assess the feasibility of a definitive randomised controlled trial comparing halved versus routine-concentration oxytocin infusion during active phase of the first stage of labour in women undergoing induction of labour. Design: Multicentre, double-blind, randomised feasibility trial with 1:1 allocation. Participants: Women & birthing people aged 18 years or older undergoing planned induction of labour in two public maternity hospitals in Sydney, Australia, between September 2023 and September 2025 were eligible. Key exclusions included previous caesarean delivery, pre-existing diabetes, major fetal anomaly, abnormal fetal cardiotocography, malpresentation, suspected cephalopelvic disproportion, suspected chorioamnionitis, intrapartum pyrexia, and other predefined maternal or fetal safety concerns. Interventions: All participants commenced induction with standard oxytocin during the latent phase (10 IU in 1 L crystalloid). At established active labour, participants were randomised to receive either halved-concentration oxytocin (5 IU in 1 L crystalloid) or routine-concentration oxytocin (10 IU in 1 L normal saline), titrated according to the New South Wales (NSW) Health oxytocin protocol between one and 40 mIUmin-1. Main outcome measures: Feasibility outcomes were recruitment, consent, randomisation, retention, protocol adherence, unblinding, and treatment separation, assessed by total oxytocin dose and infusion rates. Secondary outcomes included maternal, neonatal, and participant-reported outcomes. Results: Of 771 women assessed for eligibility in two centres, 572 were approached and 293 (51%) consented to participate, of whom 101 (34%) were randomised. During active recruitment, randomised participants represented 9.2% of all births. Baseline characteristics were similar between groups. No between-group differences were observed in maternal, neonatal, or participant-reported outcomes, although the trial was not powered to assess clinical effectiveness. Satisfaction outcomes were ascertained for 69% (70/101) participants. There was 100% ascertainment for short-term clinical outcomes and for readmissions to the hospital of delivery. Twenty-nine participants were interested in providing feedback and in being involved in developing a larger study across multiple hospitals. Conclusions: A blinded randomised controlled trial of oxytocin dose reduction in active labour is feasible in a real-world labour ward. Trial registration: This trial was registered on the ANZCTR (ACTRN12622001342707)

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Risk Screening in a Medicaid-Managed Pregnancy Medical Home: The Need to Center Maternal Health Outcomes in Public Health Programming

Dissanayake, M. V.; Mallampati, D. P.; Vladutiu, C. J.; Menard, M. K.

2026-07-19 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358262 medRxiv
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Background: North Carolina Medicaid implemented the Pregnancy Medical Home program to improve access to high-quality maternity care and reduce the risk of adverse perinatal outcomes. Program recipients receive a prenatal risk screening form, originally intended to identify those at high risk of preterm birth and low birth weight, that includes an assessment of social and clinical factors. While prior studies have evaluated whether risk screening can identify pregnancies with higher risk of adverse neonatal outcomes, less is known about the relationship between programmatic risk-stratification and adverse maternal outcomes. Objective: To assess the use of a prenatal risk screen among pregnant Medicaid beneficiaries to identify those at risk of an adverse maternal event. Study design: Linked Medicaid hospital claims, live birth records, and risk screen data from the Pregnancy Medical Home program were used to identify risk factors for adverse maternal events among individuals who gave birth to a liveborn infant in North Carolina between 2014 and 2019. Only those with completed risk screens (75%) were included in the analysis. We used random forest classification to select variables for a multivariable prediction model. We used Poisson regression to model the association between adverse maternal events and selected demographic, psychosocial, clinical, and historical pregnancy characteristics. Adverse maternal events occurring at birth and up to six weeks postpartum included severe maternal morbidity, maternal intensive care unit admission, prolonged birth hospitalization, and postpartum readmissions. Results: A total of 205,916 births met inclusion criteria for this analysis. During the study period, 3.0% of Medicaid beneficiaries had an adverse maternal event occurring between birth and up to six weeks postpartum, including, 0.6% with severe maternal morbidity, 0.9% with an intensive care unit admission at birth, and 1.5% with a prolonged birth hospitalization or postpartum readmission. Maternal age greater than 25 years, Black race, being overweight or obese, smoking, chronic diseases (diabetes, hypertension, mental illness), and pregnancy history characteristics (nulliparity, history of preterm birth, history of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy or gestational diabetes) were associated with an increased risk of adverse maternal events. Modeled together, however, risk factors from the risk form were poorly predictive of the composite outcome. The final model had an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.63 with an optimal sensitivity of 56% and specificity of 63%. Conclusion: Care management during pregnancy is an increasingly relevant topic in public health and prenatal care in the United States. The North Carolina Pregnancy Medical Home is a long-standing and robust Medicaid program that can serve as a model for design and implementation. While this program has effectively designed risk-stratification to identify pregnant people at risk of poor neonatal outcomes who benefit from care management, the risk screen poorly identifies pregnant people at risk of adverse maternal outcomes. Care coordination programs are often designed to optimize neonatal outcomes, and this study highlights the need to center and balance maternal health along with neonatal outcomes to address the needs of a very vulnerable population.

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Predictors of Pregnancy-Related Anemia: A Logistic Regression Study at a Maternity Facility in Ghana.

Kusi, R. Y.; Anyan, F. Y.; Agyekum, G. O.

2026-07-19 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358280 medRxiv
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Background: Anemia during pregnancy remains a major public health concern, particularly in low- and middle-income countries, where it contributes substantially to maternal and neonatal morbidity and mortality. Identifying women at increased risk is essential for timely intervention and improved pregnancy outcomes. Objective: This study aimed to identify the significant predictors of anemia among pregnant women using logistic regression and to evaluate the association between selected clinical and sociodemographic characteristics and anemia. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted using secondary data obtained from a community maternity care facility in the Suame Municipality of the Ashanti Region, Ghana. Pregnant women who attended antenatal care during the study period and had complete information on hemoglobin concentration and relevant predictor variables were included. Women with missing hemoglobin measurements at registration or delivery were excluded. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent predictors of anemia. Additional analyses examined the effects of age and weight, as well as the relationship between sickle cell status and blood group. Results: Logistic regression identified diastolic blood pressure, height, hemoglobin concentration at registration, maternal weight and gestational age as significant predictors of anemia during pregnancy (p < 0.05). Although employment status was statistically significant in the model, its direct association with anemia was relatively weak. Maternal age was not significantly associated with anemia. Pregnant women with sickle cell disease had a significantly higher likelihood of anemia. Blood group did not demonstrate a significant relationship with anemia. Effect sizes and confidence intervals were not available in the dataset. Conclusion: Diastolic blood pressure, height, hemoglobin concentration at registration, maternal weight, gestational age, sickle cell status and employment status were identified as important predictors of anemia during pregnancy. These findings highlight the importance of incorporating both clinical and sociodemographic characteristics into antenatal risk assessment and screening programs. Further prospective studies with larger sample sizes and more comprehensive clinical measurements are recommended to validate these findings and strengthen predictive models for anemia during pregnancy.

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Genome-Wide Association Studies and Deep-Learning Functional Annotation of Opioid Use Disorder across Three Ancestries in the All of Us Research Program

Gu, S.; Petrovitch, D.; Hall, O. T.; Lambert, J. W.; Kember, R. L.; Nahid, N. A.; Ma, Q.; Sprague, J. E.; McDonough, C. W.; Johnson, J. A.

2026-07-17 addiction medicine 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358096 medRxiv
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Background: Opioid use disorder (OUD) is heritable, yet most genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have focused on European populations, leaving the genetic architecture of OUD in non-European populations underexplored. Methods: We conducted GWAS of OUD across three ancestries using electronic health records and genomic data from 52,357 All of Us Research Program participants (8,912 cases; 43,445 matched opioid-exposed controls; 48.5% female). Participants were stratified into European (EUR), African (AFR), and Admixed American (AMR) ancestry groups for logistic regression GWAS, with independent replication in the Million Veteran Program. We then applied the deep-learning model AlphaGenome to predict the tissue-specific transcriptomic and splicing consequences of top risk variants across 13 reward-pathway brain regions. Results: We identified and replicated a novel DDX6 risk locus, alongside established OPRM1 and FURIN signals. AlphaGenome predicted the DDX6 regulatory allele downregulates the stress-resistance gene FOXR1 in the nucleus accumbens, while the protective OPRM1 variant (rs1799971) upregulates OPRM1 expression across reward networks. Other signals of interest included IL6R and SHISA9 (EUR); GHR (AFR); and ASTN2 (AMR). Conclusions: This study identifies DDX6 as a novel OUD risk locus, replicates associations with OPRM1 and FURIN, and highlights biologically plausible ancestry-specific signals in AFR and AMR populations. We also replicated top variants in an independent population. Finally, integrating GWAS with deep-learning annotations provides specific, localized biological hypotheses to guide future experimental validation and targeted therapeutics.

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Efficient stochastic epidemic simulation via the Sellke construction

van Boven, M.; Bootsma, M. C.

2026-07-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358219 medRxiv
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Stochastic epidemic models are a cornerstone of infectious disease epidemiology and are often used to study intervention scenarios. However, large run-to-run variability can make intervention effects difficult to estimate precisely. We revisit the epidemic Sellke construction, which assigns each individual an infection threshold for the cumulative infection hazard such that, conditional on the thresholds, the epidemic trajectory becomes deterministic. This enables coupling of simulations with and without an intervention, yielding low-variance effect estimates even when outcomes such as final size or peak incidence vary widely between runs. We develop an exact, event-driven implementation that maintains infection and recovery events in priority queues. Cumulative infection-hazard updates require O(log N) time per event, yielding overall complexity O(Elog N) for E events in a population of size N. The implementation achieves computational performance comparable to the classical Gillespie algorithm while naturally accommodating non-Markovian infectious periods and complex infectiousness profiles. We illustrate the approach using distance-dependent spread of avian influenza between poultry farms in the Netherlands and a multilayer population with households, schools, and workplaces. In both examples, coupling enables efficient within-run comparisons of intervention scenarios across stochastic realisations.

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Bridging surveillance gaps in dengue: a hierarchical model integrating mixed data sources for transmission estimation and vaccine targeting

Djaafara, B. A.; Elyazar, I. R.; Yosephine, P.; Surya, A.; Silalahi, F. S.; Handito, A.; Thohir, B.; Aryani, D.; Gunawan, D.; Nisa, A. K.; Prianto, E.; Samad, I.; Cook, A. R.; Huang, A. T.; Clapham, H. E.; Bhatt, S.; Mishra, S.

2026-07-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358208 medRxiv
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Estimating dengue force of infection (FOI) is essential for understanding transmission dynamics and targeting intervention programmes, yet surveillance data in endemic settings required for estimations are often incomplete, with varying formats. We developed a Bayesian hierarchical catalytic model that jointly fits age-stratified case data, aggregate case data, and seroprevalence surveys within a single framework, incorporating external covariates to improve parameter identifiability. Synthetic validation showed that covariates alone recovered accurate FOI point estimates even when most districts contributed only aggregate data, but did so with poorly calibrated uncertainty; anchoring the model with a single seroprevalence survey was necessary to bring credible interval coverage close to nominal. Applied to 128 districts across Java and Bali, Indonesia (2016-2024), the model revealed substantial spatial heterogeneity in FOI and reporting rates. Many districts in Java exceeded the WHO-suggested seroprevalence threshold for vaccine introduction, yet were classified as low-priority when using reported incidence as prioritisation criterion, particularly in areas with weak surveillance. Model-based seroprevalence estimation, integrating multiple data sources, offers a more consistent basis for identifying high-priority districts for vaccine introduction, and is less susceptible to surveillance bias than reported incidence.

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Neonatal admission as a marker of risk for poor educational attainment and special educational needs in children aged 5-11 years

John, A.; Pike, C.; Olga, L.; Sovio, U.; Wong, H. S.; Smith, G. C.; Aiken, C.

2026-07-17 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358132 medRxiv
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Background: Children born prematurely (before 37 weeks) or admitted to the neonatal unit (NNU) are at increased risk of adverse long-term physical health outcomes. It is also recognised that there is an association with later academic performance and special educational needs, however it is not clear whether these broad risk factors could be used as stand-alone heuristics to identify children who may benefit from additional support in educational settings. We aimed to examine the associations between neonatal unit (NNU) admission and educational attainment in mid-childhood. Methods and Findings: Pregnancy data from a prospective birth cohort (Pregnancy Outcome Prediction Study, Cambridge, United Kingdom, 2008-2012) were linked to national educational outcomes (Department for Education, United Kingdom). Multivariable regression models adjusted for maternal, child, and socioeconomic factors were used to evaluate associations between (i) all NNU admissions, (ii) at term NNU admissions >48 hours, (iii) preterm birth without ongoing physical health needs, and educational outcomes at ages 5-11 years. Children who required any NNU care were more likely not to meet expected educational standards across multiple ages and domains in early and mid-childhood: age 5 early year foundation (aOR 1.64, 95% CI 1.19-2.27, p=0.003), phonics at age 6 (aOR 2.43, 95% CI 1.72-3.57, p<0.001), and at age 7 (here assessments were divided into multiple domains): reading (aOR 1.67, 95% CI 1.18-2.38, p=0.004), writing (aOR 1.72, 95% CI 1.25-2.38, p<0.001), mathematics (aOR 1.56, 95% CI 1.09-2.22, p=0.020), and science (aOR 1.85, 95% CI 1.22-2.78, p=0.003). Similar patterns were observed among both at term-born infants who stayed >48hrs in NNU (phonics assessment at age 6 aOR 2.26, 95% CI 1.51-3.36, p<0.001) and in children born preterm without long-term physical health sequelae (phonics assessment at age 6 aOR 3.07, 95% CI 1.96-4.81, p<0.001). These associations were robust to adjustment for demographic, perinatal, and socio-economic factors. By age 11, differences in academic attainment were attenuated and no longer clearly distinguishable across all exposure groups. However, there was an increased likelihood of special educational needs (SEN) at age 11 associated with any NNU admission (aOR 1.78, 95% CI 1.15-2.73, p=0.009), at term NNU admission for >48hrs (aOR 1.88, 95% CI 1.19-3.00, p=0.007), and children born preterm without long-term physical health sequelae (aOR 1.50, 95% CI 1.00-2.25, p=0.049). Predictive performance of any NNU admission for SEN at age 11 was moderate (AUC 0.70, 95% CI: 1.14-2.65, p=0.010), with balanced sensitivity and specificity and high negative predictive value. Conclusions: NNU admission, for both term and preterm infants, is associated with poorer educational outcomes and an increased likelihood of special educational needs in mid-childhood.

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Complex intra-host SARS-CoV-2 evolution following monoclonal antibody pre-exposure prophylaxis

Kamelian, K.; Pascall, D. J.; Cheng, M. T. K.; Meng, B.; Altaf, M.; Morse, R. M.; Aggio, J. B.; Egan, D. J. S.; Chen-Xu, M.; Trivioli, G.; Sutton, B.; Richter, A.; Gonzalez-Vazquez, L. D.; Cormie, C.; Kemp, S.; Yeadon, R.; Hyatt, B.; Wong, A.; Thesin Pelamkulangara, N.; Fraser, E.; McCarthy, B.; Novaes, F.; Stott, S.; Galvin, A.; Bellis, K. L.; De Angelis, D.; Harrison, E. M.; Martin, D.; Smith, R. M.; Gupta, R. K.

2026-07-17 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.07.14.26356329 medRxiv
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Background: Monoclonal antibodies have emerged as a prophylactic strategy to prevent symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection in immunocompromised individuals. However, the evolutionary and clinical implications of breakthrough infections under this regime remain unclear. Methods: A male in their 80s with a haematological/oncological diagnosis received a 2000 mg intravenous infusion of sotrovimab in March 2023 and was diagnosed with COVID-19 by RT-qPCR from a nasopharyngeal swab in August 2023. Weekly samples (n=24) were collected through February 2024 (171 days). All samples underwent whole-genome sequencing, with select mutations subjected to functional assessment. Findings: Sequencing identified the GE.1 lineage at all timepoints. An intra-host recombination event in ORF1ab (positions 8942-12458) was detected prior to 23 weeks post-detection, followed by a 14-fold increase in viral load (7.42e+06 to 1.00e+08 RNA copies/mL) and a marked shift in the viral population. E340D, a sotrovimab resistance mutation, was detected at low abundance (46%) within the first week post-infection, fluctuated over time, and was nearly fixed by week 15 (107 days) post-detection. We assessed five spike mutations - V36M, S98F, and V213G in the N-terminal domain, Y505P in the receptor-binding domain, and P681Q near the S1/S2 cleavage site - and additionally evaluated the impact of E340D. V36M conferred the highest infectivity across all cell lines, with the most significant effect in low-TMPRSS2 cells. While all mutations showed enhanced infectivity with the addition of E340D, the effect was most pronounced in mutations with lower baseline infectivity. The addition of E340D significantly decreased relative neutralizing titres for V36M, S98F, and V213G, enabling escape from neutralizing antibodies in XBB-responsive individuals, illustrating an enhanced phenotypic advantage. Patient neutralizing activity was absent pre-sotrovimab, and sotrovimab-induced neutralization was further compromised by selection of E340D. Interpretation: Sotrovimab pre-exposure prophylaxis in an immunocompromised patient did not prevent SARS-CoV-2 infection, and selected for resistant mutation E340D, with unexpected fitness consequences across non-receptor binding domain spike regions.

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Nationwide Mpox Genomic Surveillance Reveals Clade Ib Introductions, APOBEC3-Driven Evolution, and Terminal Deletions

Brochu, H. N.; Shi, Q.; Song, K.; Zhang, Q.; Munroe, J.; Harris, N. J.; Britt, N.; Zeng, Q.; Kapuria, K.; Chappell, J.; Norvell, B. M.; Peavy, L.; Williams, J. D.; Harris, A. B.; Chaitram, J.; Hutson, C. L.; Deng, J.; McGrath, D.; Boles, D.; Dale, S. E.; Gigante, C. M.; Iyer, L. K.

2026-07-17 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.07.15.26357894 medRxiv
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Background The 2022-2023 global mpox outbreak highlighted the critical need for robust genomic surveillance capabilities to track mpox virus (MPXV) evolution and transmission dynamics. Methods Building upon our established SARS-CoV-2 sequencing infrastructure, we implemented a Molecular Loop probe-based long-read sequencing approach using Pacific Biosciences Sequel II technology for comprehensive MPXV genomic surveillance across the United States (US). From August 2024 to June 2025, we generated 326 high-quality whole genome sequences from residual mpox-positive clinical specimens collected by Labcorp across all 10 US Department of Health and Human Services regions. Results Our analysis identified two samples containing clade Ib MPXV in January and June 2025 and captured shifting trends in clade IIb diversity, with 13 distinct lineages observed. We also identified multiple instances of large (~1.6-17.6kb) deletions proximal to the inverted terminal repeats in clade IIb genomes. APOBEC3 mutation analysis indicated substantial evidence of human-to-human transmission among both clades. Further, we observed significantly higher APOBEC3-associated SNPs per kilobase (P<0.001) in clade IIb genomic variable regions relative to their central conserved region. Our assay exhibited strong reproducibility across biological replicates from individual patients and accuracy was confirmed via parallel sequencing of select specimens by US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) using metagenomic sequencing. We also demonstrated via custom simulation that our assay discriminates all known MPXV clades and lineages, including those we have not observed in the US. Conclusions Our integrated nationwide surveillance system facilitates real-time genomic tracking of outbreak evolution, with demonstrated capacity across SARS-CoV-2 and MPXV, positioning this platform for rapid deployment during future pathogen emergence.

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Comparative Efficacy of Vancomycin and Fidaxomicin Regimens for the Prevention of Recurrent Clostridioides difficile Infection: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

Prosty, C.; Butler-Laporte, G.; Brophy, J.; Frenette, C.; Loo, V.; Coburn, B.; Hota, S.; Longtin, Y.; Kong, L.; Muller, M.; Steiner, T.; Valiquette, L.; Daneman, N.; Daley, P.; Nott, C.; MacFadden, D. R.; Kandel, C.; Chen, Y.; Perez- Patrigeon, S.; Lee, T. C.; McDonald, E.

2026-07-17 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.07.14.26358112 medRxiv
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Background and Aims The optimal treatment for first episodes and first recurrences of Clostridioides difficile infections (CDI) is unknown and there is emerging evidence for pulse and taper (P-T) regimens. Therefore, we sought to estimate the relative efficacy of treatment options. Methods MEDLINE and CENTRAL were searched from database inception to May 21, 2025 and unpublished conference abstracts were searched from recent infectious disease conferences. RCTs on the treatment of first episodes or first recurrences of CDI comparing fixed-dose or P-T regimens of fidaxomicin or vancomycin were included. The primary and secondary outcomes were 40- and 56-day CDI recurrence, respectively. A random-effects network meta-analysis on the risk ratio (RR) scale was conducted using a standard regimen (10-14 days) of vancomycin as the comparator. Treatments were ranked using the surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA). Results 8 RCTs were included comprising a total of 2181 patients. For 40-day recurrence, fidaxomicin P-T had the highest probability of ranking best (RR=0.10, 95%Confidence Interval [95%CI]=0.10-0.49, SUCRA=1.00), followed by vancomycin P-T (RR=0.49, 95%CI=0.32-0.76, SUCRA=0.61), fixed-dose fidaxomicin (RR=0.61, 95%CI=0.49-0.76, SUCRA=0.39), and, finally, fixed-dose of vancomycin (SUCRA=0.00). The treatments ranked in the same order for 56-day recurrence, though only 3 RCTs reported on this timepoint. Conclusion Vancomycin P-T, fidaxomicin P-T, and fixed-dose fidaxomicin were all superior to a fixed-dose vancomycin. Head-to-head comparative effectiveness RCTs are needed to quantify their relative effect sizes of and impact on long-term prevention of recurrent CDI.